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New broadband services will drive upgrades to new technology: Dell’Oro

The research firm Dell'Oro Group today predicted in a new report that newer technologies such as ADSL2+, VDSL2 and ...

July 28, 2005  

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The research firm Dell’Oro Group today predicted in a new report that newer technologies such as ADSL2+, VDSL2 and Passive Optical Networking (PON) will all find traction in certain markets.

In addition, advanced services including TV from service providers over telephone lines will drive upgrades to these technologies through 2009 and partially offset the shipment reductions that will result from decreased levels of subscriber additions that Dell’Oro Group predicts will occur after 2005.

“Overall, we expect service providers to adopt a measured, success-based approach to upgrading and replacing equipment,” said Steve Nozik, principal analyst for access research at Dell’Oro Group.

“The magnitude, timing and type of replacement will vary by region, by service provider, and depend on success service providers have signing up subscribers to these new revenue generating services. ADSL ports will be upgraded to ADSL2+ (including bonding), VDSL2, or PON depending on the service provider’s strategy and the estimate of required bandwidth.

“We expect ADSL2+ technology to be the replacement of choice in Europe, while VDSL2 and PON will be more prevalent in North America and parts of Asia.”

According to the firm, changing dynamics are on the horizon for the access equipment market as the level of new subscribers accelerates to high-speed technologies such as VDSL and PON at the same time overall levels of new broadband subscriber additions are expected to fall (after 2005).

The five-year forecast report provides an overview of the broadband access industry, with tables covering manufacturers’ revenue, average selling prices, and port/unit shipments.

Further information is available at

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