Cisco forecast: 4 billion global mobile-ready IoT connections by 2022
By 2022, 5G connections will represent over 3% of total mobile connections and will account for nearly 12% of global mobile data traffic.
February 19, 2019
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According to the latest update of Cisco’s Mobile Visual Networking Index (VNI) Forecast (2017 – 2022), by 2022 mobile traffic will represent nearly 20% of global IP traffic and will reach 930 exabytes annually. That’s nearly 113 times more than all global mobile traffic generated just a decade prior, in 2012.
The worldwide rise in mobile access for consumers and business users, due to expanded reach and quality of mobile broadband, has fostered a seemingly insatiable demand for mobile communications, media and a wide range of mobile IoT applications.
In 2017, there were five billion mobile users worldwide, but over the next five years, that number will increase by half a billion to 5.5 billion users, which represents about 71% of the global population. By 2022, there will be more than 12 billion mobile-ready devices and IoT connections (up from about nine billion mobile-ready devices and IoT connections in 2017). By 2022, mobile networks will support more than eight billion personal mobile devices and four billion IoT connections.
The forecast update also anticipates ongoing efforts by mobile carriers around the world to enhance mobile network performance. The average global mobile network speeds will increase more than three-fold from 8.7 Mbps in 2017 to 28.5 Mbps by 2022. Average mobile speeds vary significantly by geographic locations as 5G adoption begins to ramp up in some regions.
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G and LPWA Connection Share:
- In 2017, Low-Power, Wide-area (LPWA) networks supported 1.5% of mobile devices/M2M connections, 2G supported 34% of global mobile devices/M2M connections; 3G supported 30% of global mobile devices/M2M connections; and 4G supported 35% of global mobile devices/M2M connections.
- By 2022, LPWA networks will support 14% of mobile devices/M2M connections, 2G will support 8% of global mobile devices/M2M connections; 3G will support 20% of global mobile devices/M2M connections; 4G will support 54% of global mobile devices/M2M connections; 5G will support 3% of global mobile devices/M2M connections (about 422m 5G connections globally).
- By 2022, 5G connections will represent over 3% of total mobile connections (more than 422 million global 5G devices and M2M connections) and will account for nearly 12% of global mobile data traffic.
- By 2022, the average 5G connection (22 GB/month) will generate about 3X more traffic than the average 4G connection (8 GB/month).
WiFi: Traffic Offload from Mobile Networks (Cellular) to Fixed Networks (WiFi)
- In 2017, monthly offload traffic (13 EB) exceeded monthly mobile/cellular traffic (12 EB).
- In 2017, 54% of total mobile data traffic was offloaded; by 2022, 59% of total mobile data traffic will be offloaded.
- 2017 Total IP Traffic (fixed & mobile): 48% Wired, 43% WiFi, 9% Mobile.
- 2022 Total IP Traffic (fixed & mobile): 29% Wired, 51% WiFi, 20% Mobile.
- Globally, total WiFi hotspots (including home spots) will grow 4X from 2017 (124 million) to 2022 (549 million).
“As global mobile traffic approaches the zettabyte era, we believe that 5G and WiFi will coexist as necessary and complementary access technologies, offering key benefits to our enterprise and service provider customers to extend their architectures,” said Jonathan Davidson, senior vice president and general manager, Service Provider Business, Cisco.